UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Buffalo
  
Buffalo               
W-L: ( 1-13) PR = 87.7598

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 3-10 207 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 1- 3 208 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 2-12 213 H Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 2- 3 213 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 7- 8 214 A Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 0- 8 214 H Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 0- 6 215 H Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 1- 4 220 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 6-10 221 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 3- 8 227 A James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 2-11 228 A James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 3-14 421 H Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 4- 0 421 H Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 2- 6

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Maryland                3-10      -7    -2    --    -5.25
   207 A Duke                    1- 3      -2   -10    +++    7.60
   208 A UCF                     2-12     -10    -9          -0.77
   213 H Maryland                2- 3      -1    -2           0.75
   213 A East Carolina           7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.26
   214 A Maryland                0- 8      -8    -3    --    -4.76
   214 H Notre Dame              0- 6      -6    -4          -1.51
   215 H Duke                    1- 4      -3    -8    ++     5.11
   220 H Louisville              6-10      -4    -7    +      3.05
   221 H Wisconsin               3- 8      -5    -5           0.33
   227 A James Madison           2-11      -9    -6    -     -3.29
   228 A James Madison           3-14     -11    -6    --    -5.29
   421 H Syracuse                4- 0       4     0    ++     4.38
   421 H Syracuse                2- 6      -4     0    -     -3.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Maryland                3-10      -7    -2    --    -5.25
   214 A Maryland                0- 8      -8    -3    --    -4.76
   228 A James Madison           3-14     -11    -6    --    -5.29
   227 A James Madison           2-11      -9    -6    -     -3.29
   421 H Syracuse                2- 6      -4     0    -     -3.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 A Duke                    1- 3      -2   -10    +++    7.60
   215 H Duke                    1- 4      -3    -8    ++     5.11
   421 H Syracuse                4- 0       4     0    ++     4.38
   213 A East Carolina           7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.26
   220 H Louisville              6-10      -4    -7    +      3.05

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Maryland        (19-30, 90.3)     3-10       -9.64       9.73      -0.74         1.80            -9.35
   3 A Duke            (46-15, 96.6)     1- 3       -3.29      16.08       0.74         1.80            -2.29
   3 A UCF             (40-20, 96.2)     2-12       -3.65      15.72       0.74         1.80            -2.62
   3 H Maryland        (19-30, 90.3)     2- 3       -9.64       9.73      -0.74         1.80            -9.35
   3 A East Carolina   (31-27, 91.3)     7- 8       -8.62      10.75       0.74         1.80            -7.09
   3 A Maryland        (19-30, 90.3)     0- 8       -9.64       9.73       0.74         1.80            -8.01
   3 H Notre Dame      (24-29, 93.0)     0- 6       -6.91      12.46      -0.74         1.80            -6.89
   3 H Duke            (46-15, 96.6)     1- 4       -3.29      16.08      -0.74         1.80            -3.63
   3 H Louisville      (45-15, 95.6)     6-10       -4.35      15.02      -0.74         1.80            -4.58
   3 H Wisconsin       (32-22, 93.8)     3- 8       -6.07      13.30      -0.74         1.80            -6.13
   3 A James Madison   (28-21, 92.7)     2-11       -7.17      12.20       0.74         1.80            -5.79
   3 A James Madison   (28-21, 92.7)     3-14       -7.17      12.20       0.74         1.80            -5.79
   3 H Syracuse        (19-27, 88.9)     4- 0      -11.02       8.35      -0.74         1.80            27.41
   3 H Syracuse        (19-27, 88.9)     2- 6      -11.02       8.35      -0.74         1.80           -10.58
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -54.69

winning pts = 27.4103 losing points = -82.0996

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------